Solar boom heads to Japan creating $9.6 billion market

By Chisaki Watanabe

Japan is poised to overtake Germany and Italy to become the world’s second-biggest market for solar power as incentives starting July 1 drive sales for equipment makers from Yingli Green Energy Holdings Co. to Kyocera Corp. (6971)

Industry Minister Yukio Edano set today a premium price for solar electricity that’s about triple what industrial users now pay for conventional power. That may spur at least $9.6 billion in new installations with 3.2 gigawatts of capacity, Bloomberg New Energy Finance forecast. The total is about equal to the output of three atomic reactors.

“The tariff is very attractive,” said Mina Sekiguchi, associate partner and head of energy and infrastructure at KPMG in Japan. “The rate reflects the government’s intention to set up many solar power stations very quickly.”

Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda’s effort to cut dependence on atomic energy that provided about 30 percent of Japan’s power before the Fukushima nuclear meltdown in 2011 will help a solar industry suffering incentive cuts across Europe. It’s also raising concern among Japanese business groups that clean power aid will raise bills and slow Japan’s economic recovery.

“This is a mechanism with a high degree of market intervention by setting tariffs artificially high and making users shoulder the cost,” said Masami Hasegawa, senior manager of the environmental policy bureau of Keidanren, Japan’s most powerful business lobby, which counts Toyota Motor Corp. and Nippon Steel Corp (5401) among its members. “We question the effectiveness of such a scheme.”

Twice German Rate

Utilities will pay 42 yen (53 cents) a kilowatt-hour for 20 years to solar power producers, almost twice the rate in Germany, the world’s biggest market by installations. The solar tariff was among incentive rates for clean energy announced today by the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry.

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